Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2886SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2886 · TPA → ORD
departs 7:46 AM ET · arrives 9:56 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±1 pts−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.