Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1371 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

AS 1371 · SEA → PSP

departs 10:09 AM PT · arrives 12:42 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PSP?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.5 in of rain forecast at SEA that day

↑ 10am departures from SEA are often late

↑ PSP is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.55 in

PSP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1371 · SEA → PSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSP?