Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1434SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1434 · SAN → SMF
departs 10:49 AM PT · arrives 12:27 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.