Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 341 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

AS 341 · HNL → SLC

departs 1:26 PM HT · arrives 10:13 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SLC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 341 · HNL → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?