tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 385 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 385 · SEA → YYZ

departs 8:23 AM PT · arrives 3:59 PM EST
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYZ?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.