Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 521 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 521 · SEA → SJC

departs 2:55 PM PT · arrives 5:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 53h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
32% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SJC?

  1. On time or early
    67%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.