Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 67 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

AS 67 · SEA → KTN

departs 3:37 PM PT · arrives 4:43 PM AKST

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 54h before departure

Arrive at KTN more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±16 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KTN?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at KTN that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day

↑ 3pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ KTN usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.30 in

KTN (destination) Gusts38 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 67 · SEA → KTN

Odds over time

How late will it get to KTN?