Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 7019 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

AS 7019 · DLG → AKN

departs 4:19 PM AKT · arrives 5:03 PM AKT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at AKN more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AKN?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AKN

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into AKN at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DLG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AKN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7019 · DLG → AKN

Odds over time

How late will it get to AKN?