Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 932 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

AS 932 · OGG → LAS

departs 11:36 AM HT · arrives 7:06 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 932 · OGG → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?