Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 9663 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

AS 9663 · ANC → SCC

departs 10:35 AM AKT · arrives 12:27 PM AKT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at SCC more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SCC?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at ANC that day

↑ Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.5 in of snow forecast at SCC that day

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Arrivals into SCC at that hour are usually not late

↓ 10am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.16 in

SCC (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 9663 · ANC → SCC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SCC?