Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2538
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
B6 2538 · SDQ → SJU
departs 3:46 PM AST · arrives 5:03 PM AT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Mon 11/9 46%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 27%
Thu 11/12 31%
Fri 11/13 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SDQ that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SJU that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SDQ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.