Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
B6 282 · IAH → JFK
departs 5:16 PM CT · arrives 10:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Mon 11/9 37%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 59%
Thu 11/12 48%
Fri 11/13 42%
Sat 11/14 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from IAH are often late
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.