Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 435
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
B6 435 · STT → SJU
departs 5:54 PM AST · arrives 6:45 PM AT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Mon 11/9 28%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 26%
Thu 11/12 29%
Fri 11/13 30%
Sat 11/14 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave STT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SJU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
STT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
STT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.