Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1650
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
DL 1650 · RNO → SLC
departs 5:56 AM PT · arrives 8:26 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Mon 11/9 8%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 10%
Thu 11/12 12%
Fri 11/13 12%
Sat 11/14 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
4%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
RNO is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
RNO (origin)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.