Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1664
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
DL 1664 · GEG → SEA
departs 5:05 AM PT · arrives 6:16 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sun 11/8 13%
Mon 11/9 6%
Tue 11/10
Thu 11/12 8%
Fri 11/13 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from GEG are usually not late
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.01 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.