Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1777
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Today
DL 1777 · IAH → LGA
departs 1:57 PM CT · arrives 6:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 11/11 15%
Thu 11/12 56%
Fri 11/13 49%
Sun 11/15 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+28 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.