Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1893
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
DL 1893 · LAS → SLC
departs 10:10 AM PT · arrives 12:36 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 7%
Thu 11/12 16%
Fri 11/13 16%
Sat 11/14 12%
Sun 11/15 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
10am departures from LAS are often late
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.