Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2201 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

DL 2201 · GPI → SLC

departs 7:30 AM -05 · arrives 7:18 AM MT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 70h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Arrivals into SLC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

GPI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2201 · GPI → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?