Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2564 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow

DL 2564 · LGA → MCO

departs 11:49 AM ET · arrives 2:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2564 · LGA → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?