DL 2873 · AUS → SLC

took off 12:39 PM CT · expected to land 2:02 PM MT (scheduled 12:28 PM CT → 2:21 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SLC?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2873 · AUS → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?