Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
DL 3128 · AUS → SJC
departs 9:57 AM CT · arrives 12:01 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 10%
Thu 11/12 11%
Fri 11/13 12%
Sat 11/14 10%
Sun 11/15 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SJC is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUS that day
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
SJC (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.