DL 690 · SFO → ATL

took off 12:19 AM PT · expected to land 7:34 AM ET (scheduled 12:06 AM PT → 7:54 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SFO that day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 690 · SFO → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?