Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8938 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10 Yesterday

DL 8938 · PHL → DTW

departs 1:56 PM ET · arrives 3:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DTW (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8938 · PHL → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?