Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8943 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

DL 8943 · LAX → DEN

departs 11:56 AM PT · arrives 3:10 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DEN (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8943 · LAX → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?