Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5532 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

OH 5532 · MSY → IAH

departs 10:22 PM CT · arrives 11:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5532 · MSY → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?