Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 1004
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Today
OO 1004 · FOE → HPN
departs 9:26 PM CT · arrives 4:11 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave FOE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
This route's recent record
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FOE
Weather at each end
FOE (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
HPN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.