Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3057
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 3057 · SNA → STS
departs 1:06 PM PT · arrives 2:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sun 11/8 30%
Mon 11/9 23%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 20%
Thu 11/12 23%
Fri 11/13 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from SNA are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.