Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3084
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 3084 · SEA → GTF
departs 1:46 PM PT · arrives 4:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Mon 11/9 20%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 22%
Thu 11/12 20%
Fri 11/13 24%
Sat 11/14 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at GTF more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GTF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at GTF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GTF?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
1pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
GTF usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 1,600 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.34 in
GTF (destination)
Gusts 38 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.