Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3138
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
OO 3138 · SEA → RNO
departs 3:31 PM PT · arrives 5:26 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 12%
Thu 11/12 19%
Fri 11/13 28%
Sat 11/14 24%
Sun 11/15 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
3pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.56 in
RNO (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.