Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3403
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
OO 3403 · SEA → YYJ
departs 3:38 PM PT · arrives 5:43 PM MST
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 12%
Thu 11/12 18%
Fri 11/13 23%
Sat 11/14 22%
Sun 11/15 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±7 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at YYJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YYJ?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at YYJ that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
3pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
YYJ usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.56 in
YYJ (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.99 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.