Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3436
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 3436 · SEA → YLW
departs 12:36 PM PT · arrives 3:01 PM MST
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 11/8 22%
Mon 11/9 18%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 16%
Thu 11/12 16%
Fri 11/13 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at YLW more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YLW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at YLW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YLW?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
YLW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 1,500 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.29 in
YLW (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 2,600 ft
Visibility 7.66667 mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.