Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3436
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 3436 · YLW → SEA
departs 3:32 PM MST · arrives 3:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Mon 11/9 16%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 14%
Thu 11/12 16%
Fri 11/13 20%
Sat 11/14 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave YLW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SEA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
YLW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.01 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.