Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3748
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 3748 · SEA → YVR
departs 1:51 PM PT · arrives 4:02 PM MST
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Mon 11/9 24%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 22%
Thu 11/12 23%
Fri 11/13 26%
Sat 11/14 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at YVR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YVR?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at YVR that day
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
1pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
YVR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 1,500 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.42 in
YVR (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 1.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.