Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3891
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 3891 · SEA → PSC
departs 1:40 PM PT · arrives 2:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Mon 11/9 25%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 30%
Thu 11/12 26%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PSC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at PSC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PSC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
1pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSC
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.34 in
PSC (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.