OO 4033 · SBN → ATL

departs 5:02 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET

Your aircraft is N265SY (E75L), coming in as OO 4033 from ATL: landed 4:03 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

SBN (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4033 · SBN → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?