Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4145
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 4145 · SEA → GEG
departs 1:38 PM PT · arrives 2:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Mon 11/9 13%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 19%
Thu 11/12 17%
Fri 11/13 23%
Sat 11/14 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at GEG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GEG?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
1pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
GEG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.34 in
GEG (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.