Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4149
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 4149 · EUG → SEA
departs 12:31 PM PT · arrives 1:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Mon 11/9 16%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 17%
Thu 11/12 17%
Fri 11/13 22%
Sat 11/14 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at EUG that day
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.01 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.