Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5039
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
OO 5039 · IAH → MEI
departs 5:09 PM CT · arrives 6:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 32%
Thu 11/12 24%
Fri 11/13 22%
Sat 11/14 24%
Sun 11/15 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEI more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at MEI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEI?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at IAH that day
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
MEI (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.