Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5397
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 5397 · EUG → SFO
departs 1:45 PM PT · arrives 3:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 39%
Sat 11/14 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 54% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.01 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.