Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5427
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 5427 · FAT → SFO
departs 2:11 PM PT · arrives 3:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 36%
Sat 11/14 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.