Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5480
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
OO 5480 · SFO → ACV
departs 4:31 PM PT · arrives 6:02 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Tue 11/10
Thu 11/12 28%
Fri 11/13 43%
Sat 11/14 30%
Sun 11/15 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ACV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ACV?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
ACV (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.