Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5578
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 5578 · PSC → SFO
departs 1:35 PM PT · arrives 3:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Mon 11/9 31%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 34%
Thu 11/12 39%
Fri 11/13 56%
Sat 11/14 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave PSC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PSC (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.