Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5627
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
OO 5627 · SFO → MRY
departs 4:30 PM PT · arrives 5:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 19%
Thu 11/12 22%
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 28%
Sun 11/15 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MRY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MRY?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MRY
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
MRY (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 8,133 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.