Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6204
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
OO 6204 · GRR → ORD
departs 9:57 AM ET · arrives 10:05 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sun 11/8 15%
Mon 11/9 8%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 29%
Thu 11/12 22%
Fri 11/13 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR
Weather at each end
GRR (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.