Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2334
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
QX 2334 · SBA → PDX
departs 7:25 AM PT · arrives 9:57 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sun 11/8 8%
Mon 11/9 8%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 12%
Thu 11/12 10%
Fri 11/13 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at PDX that day
↑
7am departures from SBA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SBA
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SBA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PDX (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.