Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3022 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:11 AM CT, ETA 6:42 AM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, November 10 Today

SY 3022 · MSY → SBD

took off 5:11 AM CT · expected to land 6:42 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SBD more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SY's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ 5am departures from MSY are usually not late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SBD (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3022 · MSY → SBD

Odds over time