tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1040 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1040 · EWR → AUA

departs 9:18 AM ET · arrives 3:13 PM AST
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Arrive at AUA more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.4d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to AUA?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.