tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1041 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1041 · TPA → EWR

departs 8:09 AM ET · arrives 11:01 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
6% chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    94%
  2. 15–30 min late
    1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.