UA 1369 · PHX → ORD

left the gate 12:21 PM MT · taxiing (scheduled 12:17 PM MT → 4:59 PM CT)

Your aircraft is N77598 (B39M), coming in as UA 2795 from ORD: landed 9:59 AM MT.

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1369 · PHX → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?