Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1507 SCHEDULED

Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow

UA 1507 · DEN → MRY

departs 7:28 PM MT · arrives 9:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MRY?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MRY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1507 · DEN → MRY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MRY?